Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Portuguesa or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Portuguesa to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa to win ✗63% · @1.85
Double chancePortuguesa or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗20% · fair 4.97
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees Sampaio Corrêa RJ take on Portuguesa on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Lourival Gomes.
Form guide
Sampaio Corrêa RJ's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Noroeste 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Portuguesa's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Portuguesa RJ 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.6 per game.
Portuguesa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.5 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ and 1.5 for Portuguesa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Value angle: Portuguesa to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portuguesa or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–1 Portuguesa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sampaio Corrêa RJ14%fair 7.17 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Portuguesa63%fair 1.59 · @1.85
2.00Expected goals
0.51Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
1.49Portuguesa xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–120%
0–215%
0–014%
1–110%
1–28%
0–37%
From our goals model: Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0.5 – 1.5 Portuguesa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa to win✗
63%
1.59
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Portuguesa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa / FT Portuguesa✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
20%
4.97
–
Form
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6
LWLLLD
7 Jun
@ Noroeste
0–1
L
30 May
vs Velo Clube
1–0
W
7 May
@ Avai
0–2
L
30 Apr
vs Operario-PR
1–2
L
16 Apr
@ America Mineiro
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Volta Redonda
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Portuguesa – last 5
WWLWW
6 Jun
vs Portuguesa RJ
2–0
W
30 May
@ Pouso Alegre
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Paysandu
2–3
L
27 Feb
vs Altos
5–1
W
16 Feb
@ Mirassol
2–1
W
2.6Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sampaio Corrêa RJ and Portuguesa.
What is the prediction for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
Our pick is Portuguesa or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
On our numbers Sampaio Corrêa RJ have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portuguesa 63%.
How many goals will there be in Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
Our predicted score is Sampaio Corrêa RJ 0–1 Portuguesa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa?
Sampaio Corrêa RJ vs Portuguesa (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Lourival Gomes.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Lourival Gomes
América RJ1
XV de Piracicaba1
Independiente FSJ0
Cianorte1
Vitória ES1
Ipatinga0
São Luiz1
Blumenau1
Aparecidense1
Capital Brasilia1
Ceilândia1
Luverdense2
Fluminense PI0
America-RN3
Mixto1
Gama2