Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLens to win ✓67% · @1.54
Double chanceLens or draw ✓86% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Lens vs Auxerre preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Lens take on Auxerre on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 16:15 (WAT) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Lens are 11th with 13 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Auxerre sit 14th on 10 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lens's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Paris Saint Germain 1–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 6. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Auxerre's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Werder Bremen 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Lens and 0.9 for Auxerre. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lens 67%, draw 19%, Auxerre 14%.
Safer route: Lens or draw (86%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Lens 2–0 Auxerre. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lens67%fair 1.49 · @1.54
Draw19%fair 5.26 · @4.20
Auxerre14%fair 7.24 · @5.60
3.02Expected goals
2.16Lens xG
0.86Auxerre xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Lens 2.2 – 0.9 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lens to win✓
67%
1.49
1.54
Double chance
Lens or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
Lens ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lens / FT Lens✓
44%
2.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.79
–
Form
Lens – last 6
WLWDWW
16 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Sunderland
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Villarreal
3–1
W
25 Jul
vs Charleroi
2–2
D
18 Jul
vs Boulogne
4–1
W
22 May
vs Nice
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 6
WDDLWW
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs St Maur Lusitanos
5–2
W
17 May
@ Lille
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lens and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lens vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Lens have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Auxerre 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lens vs Auxerre?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lens vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Lens 2–0 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Lens vs Auxerre?
Lens vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
