Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Le Mans or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.45Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.50 – our chance 56% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +97%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.50
Double chanceLe Mans or draw ✓79% · @1.45
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.35
Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees Le Mans take on Stade Brestois 29 on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Stade Marie-Marvingt. Le Mans are 15th with 8 points from 10 games (in the bottom half), while Stade Brestois 29 sit 9th on 15 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Le Mans's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Le Havre 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Stade Brestois 29's last 5: LDWDL Most recently they lost to Nottingham Forest 0–2 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Le Mans arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Le Mans and 1.4 for Stade Brestois 29. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Le Mans 23%, draw 56%, Stade Brestois 29 21%.
Safer route: Le Mans or draw (79%) at 1.45.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Draw at 3.50 – 56% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Le Mans or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.45, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Le Mans 1–1 Stade Brestois 29. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Le Mans23%fair 4.41 · @2.48
Draw56%fair 1.78 · @3.50
Stade Brestois 2921%fair 4.73 · @2.64
2.78Expected goals
1.41Le Mans xG
1.37Stade Brestois 29 xG
63%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–06%
From our goals model: Le Mans 1.4 – 1.4 Stade Brestois 29 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.78
3.50 ▲
Double chance
Le Mans or draw✓
79%
1.27
1.45 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Le Mans / FT Le Mans✗
22%
4.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.35
–
Form
Le Mans – last 6
LDWWWL
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Angers
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Versailles
3–1
W
18 Jul
vs La Roche VF
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Stade Brestois 29 – last 6
LDWDLD
16 Aug
@ Nottingham Forest
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Venezia
2–2
D
5 Aug
@ Stade Briochin
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Guingamp
3–3
D
22 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
0–2
L
18 Jul
vs Concarneau
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Stade Brestois 29.
What is the prediction for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our pick is Le Mans or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Stade Brestois 29 21%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29?
Le Mans vs Stade Brestois 29 (Ligue 1) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Marie-Marvingt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
