Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultWaalwijk to win ✓62% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Waalwijk vs MVV preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Waalwijk take on MVV on Friday 18 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Mandemakers Stadion. Waalwijk are 12th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while MVV sit 8th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Waalwijk's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat Jong Ajax 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
MVV's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Almere City FC 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 April 2026, finished MVV 1–3 Waalwijk.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Waalwijk and 1.1 for MVV. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Waalwijk 62%, draw 19%, MVV 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Waalwijk to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Waalwijk 2–1 MVV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Waalwijk62%fair 1.60 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.32 · @3.90
MVV19%fair 5.30 · @4.50
3.17Expected goals
2.11Waalwijk xG
1.06MVV xG
60%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Waalwijk 2.1 – 1.1 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Waalwijk to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Waalwijk vs MVV?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and MVV 19%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs MVV?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Waalwijk vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Waalwijk 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Waalwijk vs MVV?
Waalwijk vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
