Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Yanmar StadionAlmere City FC vs Heracles prediction & analysis
Heracles to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Almere City FC 1.6 – 2.7 Heracles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Heracles travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 23% for Almere City FC.
Almere City FC have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.5 and conceding 0.7 per game. Heracles have 18 points from their last 6 (6W 0D 0L), averaging 4.0 scored and 1.5 conceded. Heracles come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.3 goals (1.6 for Almere City FC, 2.7 for Heracles). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–3 (7%), 2–2 (6%).
Our pick is Heracles to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.95 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Heracles to win ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 69% | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 93% | 1.08 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | – |
| Half-time result | Heracles ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Heracles / FT Heracles ✗ | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.78 | – |
Form
Almere City FC – last 6
| 11 Sep | @ MVV | 4–0 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Jong Ajax | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ De Graafschap | 4–1 | W |
| 21 Aug | @ Vitesse | 3–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Jong PSV U21 | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Aug | @ Den Bosch | 1–1 | D |
Heracles – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs Jong AZ | 3–2 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs De Graafschap | 5–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ FC Eindhoven | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | @ Jong Utrecht | 6–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs Den Bosch | 3–2 | W |
| 7 Aug | @ VVV Venlo | 4–3 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Heracles.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Heracles?
Our pick is Heracles to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Heracles?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Heracles 61%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Heracles?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 81% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is Almere City FC vs Heracles?
Almere City FC vs Heracles (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.