Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Jan Louwers StadionFC Eindhoven vs Emmen prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
Value bet: Emmen to win @ 1.95 – our chance 57% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: FC Eindhoven 1.7 – 2.5 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Emmen shade it despite being away from home – 57% to win, against 25% for FC Eindhoven.
FC Eindhoven have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 2.0 per game. Emmen have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.7 scored and 2.3 conceded. Emmen come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.2 goals (1.7 for FC Eindhoven, 2.5 for Emmen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–2 (8%), 1–3 (7%), 2–2 (7%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.40 is close to our fair price of 1.45. For a bigger price, Emmen to win at 1.95 is our value angle (57% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Emmen to win ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.95 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 69% | 1.45 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Half-time result | Emmen ahead at half-time ✗ | 44% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Emmen / FT Emmen ✗ | 37% | 2.71 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 8% | 12.35 | – |
Form
FC Eindhoven – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs Dordrecht | 2–1 | W |
| 7 Sep | @ Jong Utrecht | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | vs Heracles | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | @ Den Bosch | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Aug | vs MVV | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | @ Jong AZ | 1–0 | W |
Emmen – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs De Graafschap | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs FC Volendam | 5–3 | W |
| 30 Aug | @ VVV Venlo | 0–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | vs Jong AZ | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | @ Jong Ajax | 6–4 | W |
| 7 Aug | vs Roda | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Eindhoven and Emmen.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?
On our numbers FC Eindhoven have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Emmen 57%.
How many goals will there be in FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
When is FC Eindhoven vs Emmen?
FC Eindhoven vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Jan Louwers Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.