Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRoda to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Jong Ajax vs Roda preview and prediction
The match
Jong Ajax host Roda in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 18 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Sportpark De Toekomst. Jong Ajax are 18th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom three), while Roda sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Jong Ajax's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Jong Utrecht 1–6 away. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Roda's last 5: WDDWW Most recently they beat Vitesse 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Roda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.3 for Jong Ajax and 2.1 for Roda. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 65%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jong Ajax 26%, draw 15%, Roda 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Roda to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Jong Ajax 1–2 Roda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jong Ajax26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Draw15%fair 6.57 · @3.60
Roda59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
3.36Expected goals
1.28Jong Ajax xG
2.08Roda xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Jong Ajax 1.3 – 2.1 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Roda to win✗
59%
1.70
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Roda ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Roda / FT Roda✗
35%
2.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Jong Ajax – last 6
LLWDWL
14 Sep
@ Jong Utrecht
1–6
L
11 Sep
vs Waalwijk
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Almere City FC
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Helmond Sport
3–2
W
22 Aug
@ NAC Breda
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
WDDWWL
12 Sep
vs Vitesse
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ MVV
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs NAC Breda
2–2
D
21 Aug
@ Dordrecht
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
7 Aug
@ Emmen
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jong Ajax and Roda.
Our pick is Roda to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Jong Ajax vs Roda?
On our numbers Jong Ajax have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Roda 59%.
How many goals will there be in Jong Ajax vs Roda?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jong Ajax vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Jong Ajax 1–2 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Jong Ajax vs Roda?
Jong Ajax vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportpark De Toekomst.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
