Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✓47% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
MVV vs Almere City FC preview and prediction
The match
Almere City FC travel to De Geusselt in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 11 September (19:00 WAT) to face MVV. MVV are 8th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Almere City FC sit 9th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MVV's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Roda 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Almere City FC's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Jong Ajax 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for MVV and 1.6 for Almere City FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: MVV 32%, draw 20%, Almere City FC 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: MVV 1–1 Almere City FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MVV32%fair 3.08 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Almere City FC47%fair 2.12 · @2.15
2.90Expected goals
1.28MVV xG
1.62Almere City FC xG
65%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: MVV 1.3 – 1.6 Almere City FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✓
47%
2.12
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
MVV – last 6
DWLWWW
6 Sep
vs Roda
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Jong AZ
2–1
W
25 Aug
@ KRC Genk II
0–6
L
21 Aug
vs FC Volendam
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–2
W
9 Aug
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Almere City FC – last 6
LWWWDL
4 Sep
vs Jong Ajax
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ De Graafschap
4–1
W
21 Aug
@ Vitesse
3–0
W
14 Aug
vs Jong PSV U21
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Den Bosch
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Emmen
0–4
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MVV and Almere City FC.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win MVV vs Almere City FC?
On our numbers MVV have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Almere City FC 47%.
How many goals will there be in MVV vs Almere City FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MVV vs Almere City FC?
Our predicted score is MVV 1–1 Almere City FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is MVV vs Almere City FC?
MVV vs Almere City FC (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Geusselt.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
