Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Rat Verlegh StadionNAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: NAC Breda 2.6 – 1.1 Jong Utrecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
NAC Breda are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 13% for Jong Utrecht.
NAC Breda have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 2.0 per game. Jong Utrecht have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 0.8 scored and 2.5 conceded. NAC Breda come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.6 goals (2.6 for NAC Breda, 1.1 for Jong Utrecht). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (9%), 2–0 (9%), 3–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | NAC Breda to win ✗ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| Double chance | NAC Breda or draw ✗ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 64% | 1.56 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 88% | 1.14 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 51% | 1.97 | – |
| Half-time result | NAC Breda ahead at half-time ✓ | 53% | 1.90 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda ✗ | 48% | 2.10 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 10.81 | – |
Form
NAC Breda – last 6
| 4 Sep | @ Waalwijk | 2–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ Roda | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Jong Ajax | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs VVV Venlo | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ FC OSS | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Bolton | 0–1 | L |
Jong Utrecht – last 6
| 7 Sep | vs FC Eindhoven | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Aug | @ Jong AZ | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Aug | @ FC OSS | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | vs Heracles | 1–6 | L |
| 17 Aug | vs Vitesse | 1–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ MVV | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and Jong Utrecht.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Jong Utrecht 13%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht?
NAC Breda vs Jong Utrecht (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.