Emmen vs De Graafschap prediction & analysis

Emmen hold the edge on home soil with a 59% chance of winning, against 26% for De Graafschap.

Emmen have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 3.2 and conceding 2.0 per game. De Graafschap have 1 points from their last 6 (0W 1D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 3.7 conceded. Emmen come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 4.9 goals (2.9 for Emmen, 2.0 for De Graafschap). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 87% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–1 (6%), 2–2 (6%), 3–1 (6%).

In their last 1 meeting, Emmen have won 1, De Graafschap have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Both teams to score at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.40. For a bigger price, Emmen to win at 1.95 is our value angle (59% on our numbers).