The Eerste Divisie sees Heracles take on De Graafschap on Friday 4 September, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Asito Stadium. Heracles are 16th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while De Graafschap sit 1st on 0 points (top of the table). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Heracles's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat FC Eindhoven 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game.
De Graafschap's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to Almere City FC 1–4 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 3.2 conceded.
Heracles arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.4 goals: 3.0 for Heracles and 1.4 for De Graafschap. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heracles 69%, draw 18%, De Graafschap 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Heracles 3–1 De Graafschap. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heracles69%fair 1.45 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @5.00
De Graafschap13%fair 7.82 · @6.00
4.38Expected goals
3.01Heracles xG
1.37De Graafschap xG
66%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–18%
2–18%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: Heracles 3.0 – 1.4 De Graafschap expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✓
69%
1.45
1.44
Double chance
Heracles or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.53
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✓
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.81
–
Form
Heracles – last 6
WWWWLW
30 Aug
@ FC Eindhoven
3–1
W
24 Aug
@ Jong Utrecht
6–1
W
14 Aug
vs Den Bosch
3–2
W
7 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
4–3
W
24 Jul
vs Excelsior
3–5
L
8 Jul
vs Groningen
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
De Graafschap – last 6
LLLDLW
29 Aug
vs Almere City FC
1–4
L
23 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Jong AZ
2–5
L
9 Aug
@ Helmond Sport
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Excelsior
1–5
L
25 Jul
vs Kifisia
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Heracles and De Graafschap.
What is the prediction for Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Heracles vs De Graafschap?
On our numbers Heracles have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and De Graafschap 13%.
How many goals will there be in Heracles vs De Graafschap?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Our predicted score is Heracles 3–1 De Graafschap, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is Heracles vs De Graafschap?
Heracles vs De Graafschap (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Asito Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
