Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax preview and prediction
The match
Almere City FC host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Yanmar Stadion. Almere City FC are 9th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Jong Ajax sit 18th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almere City FC's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat De Graafschap 4–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Jong Ajax's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Jong PSV U21 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Almere City FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Jong Ajax 0–2 Almere City FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.9 for Almere City FC and 1.2 for Jong Ajax. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almere City FC 70%, draw 20%, Jong Ajax 11%.
Safer route: Almere City FC or draw (89%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Almere City FC 2–1 Jong Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almere City FC70%fair 1.43 · @1.45
Draw20%fair 5.12 · @5.00
Jong Ajax11%fair 9.35 · @5.60
4.08Expected goals
2.88Almere City FC xG
1.19Jong Ajax xG
65%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 2.9 – 1.2 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong Ajax 11%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 2–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?
Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
