Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: VVV Venlo to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVVV Venlo to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.41
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo preview and prediction
The match
Helmond Sport host VVV Venlo in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at GS Staalwerken Stadion. Helmond Sport are 7th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while VVV Venlo sit 2nd on 0 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Helmond Sport's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Jong Ajax 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
VVV Venlo's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Emmen 4–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
VVV Venlo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 April 2026, finished Helmond Sport 2–0 VVV Venlo.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Helmond Sport and 1.7 for VVV Venlo. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Helmond Sport 36%, draw 21%, VVV Venlo 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.48.
Value angle: VVV Venlo to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Helmond Sport36%fair 2.81 · @2.55
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.45
VVV Venlo44%fair 2.29 · @2.55
3.26Expected goals
1.53Helmond Sport xG
1.73VVV Venlo xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Helmond Sport 1.5 – 1.7 VVV Venlo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
On our numbers Helmond Sport have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and VVV Venlo 44%.
How many goals will there be in Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Our predicted score is Helmond Sport 1–1 VVV Venlo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?
Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GS Staalwerken Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
