Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · Mandemakers StadionWaalwijk vs NAC Breda prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Waalwijk 1.6 – 1.7 NAC Breda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Waalwijk and NAC Breda on our numbers – 37% for the home side, 42% for the visitors and 21% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Waalwijk have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.3 per game. NAC Breda have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.3 goals (1.6 for Waalwijk, 1.7 for NAC Breda). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 1–2 (9%), 2–1 (8%).
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.46.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | NAC Breda to win ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 79% | 1.27 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 68% | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 64% | 1.57 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.67 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 38% | 2.66 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT NAC Breda / FT NAC Breda ✗ | 25% | 4.03 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 9% | 11.60 | – |
Form
Waalwijk – last 6
| 28 Aug | vs Jong PSV U21 | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Aug | @ Helmond Sport | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Aug | vs Dordrecht | 2–2 | D |
| 7 Aug | @ Vitesse | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | vs Kifisia | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Jul | vs Patro Eisden | 1–2 | L |
NAC Breda – last 6
| 28 Aug | @ Roda | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Aug | vs Jong Ajax | 3–2 | W |
| 14 Aug | vs VVV Venlo | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Aug | @ FC OSS | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | @ Bolton | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Jul | vs OFI | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Waalwijk and NAC Breda.
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
On our numbers Waalwijk have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NAC Breda 42%.
How many goals will there be in Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
When is Waalwijk vs NAC Breda?
Waalwijk vs NAC Breda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Mandemakers Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.