Emmen host FC Volendam in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 4 September, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at De Oude Meerdijk. Emmen are 6th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while FC Volendam sit 11th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Emmen's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to VVV Venlo 0–4 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
FC Volendam's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Dordrecht 6–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Emmen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.0 for Emmen and 1.9 for FC Volendam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Emmen 43%, draw 21%, FC Volendam 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.35.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Emmen 2–1 FC Volendam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Emmen43%fair 2.35 · @2.35
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.80
FC Volendam36%fair 2.77 · @2.62
3.91Expected goals
2.04Emmen xG
1.87FC Volendam xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–18%
2–27%
1–27%
3–15%
3–25%
From our goals model: Emmen 2.0 – 1.9 FC Volendam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Emmen to win✓
43%
2.35
2.35
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Half-time result
Emmen ahead at half-time✓
35%
2.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Emmen / FT Emmen✓
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.83
–
Form
Emmen – last 6
LWWWWL
30 Aug
@ VVV Venlo
0–4
L
21 Aug
vs Jong AZ
3–1
W
17 Aug
@ Jong Ajax
6–4
W
7 Aug
vs Roda
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Almere City FC
4–0
W
24 Jul
vs Twente
0–3
L
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
FC Volendam – last 6
WLWLLW
28 Aug
vs Dordrecht
6–1
W
21 Aug
@ MVV
0–1
L
15 Aug
vs FC OSS
3–0
W
10 Aug
@ Jong PSV U21
2–3
L
2 Aug
vs Ajax
1–3
L
24 Jul
@ Groningen
4–0
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Emmen and FC Volendam.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Emmen vs FC Volendam?
On our numbers Emmen have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Volendam 36%.
How many goals will there be in Emmen vs FC Volendam?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Emmen vs FC Volendam?
Our predicted score is Emmen 2–1 FC Volendam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Emmen vs FC Volendam?
Emmen vs FC Volendam (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Oude Meerdijk.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
