Zambia
Burundi
Zambia vs Burundi prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.38
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Zambia 1.9 – 0.8 Burundi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Zambia are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 12% for Burundi.
Zambia have taken 3 points from their last 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 2.7 per game. Burundi have 7 points from their last 4 (2W 1D 1L), averaging 2.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. Burundi come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.9 for Zambia, 0.8 for Burundi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 71% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.41.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Zambia to win | 63% | 1.59 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | Zambia or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 51% | 1.97 | 1.48 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | 1.38 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 | 1.52 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 | – |
| Half-time result | Zambia ahead at half-time | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Zambia / FT Zambia | 41% | 2.42 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 13% | 7.84 | – |
Form
Zambia – last 3
| 29 Sep | vs Togo | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | @ Algeria | 1–3 | L |
| 1 Apr | @ Argentina | 0–5 | L |
Burundi – last 4
| 29 Sep | vs Algeria | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Sep | @ Togo | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Chad | 4–0 | W |
| 27 Mar | @ Chad | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zambia and Burundi.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Zambia vs Burundi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Zambia vs Burundi?
On our numbers Zambia have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Burundi 12%.
How many goals will there be in Zambia vs Burundi?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Zambia vs Burundi?
Zambia vs Burundi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Levy Mwanawasa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.