Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Godswill Akpabio International Stadium

Nigeria

DLWLD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Tanzania

DLWL

Nigeria vs Tanzania prediction & analysis

64%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.51

6/10Rating
1.51Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultNigeria to win76% · @1.04
Double chanceNigeria or draw93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–015% · fair 6.59

Win chances

Nigeria76%fair 1.32 · @1.04
Draw17%fair 5.84 · @8.10
Tanzania7%fair 14.46 · @17.00
2.84Expected goals
2.28Nigeria xG
0.56Tanzania xG
45%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–013%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Nigeria 2.3 – 0.6 Tanzania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Nigeria are clear favourites at home with a 76% chance of winning, against 7% for Tanzania.

Nigeria have taken 8 points from their last 6 matches (2W 2D 2L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 1.8 per game. Tanzania have 4 points from their last 4 (1W 1D 2L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.3 for Nigeria, 0.6 for Tanzania). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 45%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (12%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.51 is close to our fair price of 1.55.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNigeria to win76%1.321.04
Double chanceNigeria or draw93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score55%1.831.38
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals78%1.29–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals64%1.551.51
Half-time resultNigeria ahead at half-time55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT Nigeria / FT Nigeria52%1.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–015%6.59–

Form

Nigeria – last 6

DLWLDW
6 Oct@ Russia3–3D
29 Sep@ Guinea-Bissau0–3L
25 Sepvs Madagascar2–1W
10 Jun@ Portugal1–2L
3 Jun@ Poland2–2D
26 Mayvs Zimbabwe2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Tanzania – last 4

DLWL
29 Sep@ Madagascar1–1D
25 Sepvs Guinea-Bissau0–2L
29 Mar@ Mação6–0W
26 Marvs Liechtenstein0–1L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Nigeria and Tanzania.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Comoros Congo 492229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.49 Mozambique Ethiopia 632412 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.43 Zambia Burundi 632512 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 Burkina Faso Mauritania 632413 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.38 Cape Verde Islands Liberia 652114 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 Gabon Lesotho 691912 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 South Africa Kenya 681715 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.21 Tunisia Libya 72217 1Tunisia to win 72%@1.29

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.

Who will win Nigeria vs Tanzania?

On our numbers Nigeria have a 76% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Tanzania 7%.

How many goals will there be in Nigeria vs Tanzania?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.

When is Nigeria vs Tanzania?

Nigeria vs Tanzania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Godswill Akpabio International Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.