Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade du 4 Aout

Burkina Faso

LWDDL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Mauritania

LWWDL

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38

7/10Rating
1.38Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultBurkina Faso to win63% · @1.41
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw87% · @1.02
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.46
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.25

Win chances

Burkina Faso63%fair 1.58 · @1.41
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.75
Mauritania13%fair 7.87 · @7.37
2.39Expected goals
1.74Burkina Faso xG
0.65Mauritania xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Burkina Faso 1.7 – 0.6 Mauritania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Burkina Faso are clear favourites at home with a 63% chance of winning, against 13% for Mauritania.

Burkina Faso have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 2.3 per game. Mauritania have 7 points from their last 5 (2W 1D 2L), averaging 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

We expect around 2.4 goals (1.7 for Burkina Faso, 0.6 for Mauritania). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.38 is close to our fair price of 1.48.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBurkina Faso to win63%1.581.41
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw87%1.151.02
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.901.46
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals68%1.481.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.701.52
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals78%1.28–
Half-time resultBurkina Faso ahead at half-time44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016%6.25–

Form

Burkina Faso – last 6

LWDDLD
4 Oct@ Argentina0–7L
28 Sep@ Central African Republic1–0W
25 Sepvs Benin1–1D
9 Jun@ Belarus2–2D
5 Jun@ Russia0–3L
31 Marvs Guinea-Bissau1–1D
0.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mauritania – last 5

LWWDL
29 Sep@ Benin1–2L
24 Sepvs Central African Republic3–1W
8 Jun@ Niger1–0W
5 Jun@ Angola1–1D
28 Mar@ Argentina1–2L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Burkina Faso and Mauritania.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Comoros Congo 492229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.49 Mozambique Ethiopia 632412 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.43 Zambia Burundi 632512 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 Cape Verde Islands Liberia 652114 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 Gabon Lesotho 691912 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 Nigeria Tanzania 76177 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.51 South Africa Kenya 681715 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.21 Tunisia Libya 72217 1Tunisia to win 72%@1.29

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.

Who will win Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

On our numbers Burkina Faso have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mauritania 13%.

How many goals will there be in Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

When is Burkina Faso vs Mauritania?

Burkina Faso vs Mauritania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 4 Aout.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.