Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade de Franceville

Gabon

WLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Lesotho

LLLDW

Gabon vs Lesotho prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGabon to win69% · @1.14
Double chanceGabon or draw88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score57% · @1.35
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018% · fair 5.67

Win chances

Gabon69%fair 1.44 · @1.14
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @5.54
Lesotho12%fair 8.63 · @14.80
2.31Expected goals
1.79Gabon xG
0.53Lesotho xG
43%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
3–09%
1–19%
2–18%

From our goals model: Gabon 1.8 – 0.5 Lesotho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Gabon are clear favourites at home with a 69% chance of winning, against 12% for Lesotho.

Gabon have taken 3 points from their last 3 matches (1W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Lesotho have 5 points from their last 6 (1W 2D 3L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.

We expect around 2.3 goals (1.8 for Gabon, 0.5 for Lesotho). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (18%), 2–0 (16%), 0–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 76% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.31.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGabon to win69%1.441.14
Double chanceGabon or draw88%1.13–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score57%1.761.35
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.421.24
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.811.79
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.311.25
Half-time resultGabon ahead at half-time47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gabon / FT Gabon43%2.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–018%5.67–

Form

Gabon – last 3

WLL
29 Sepvs Niger2–0W
25 Sep@ Morocco0–2L
27 Mar@ Uzbekistan1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lesotho – last 6

LLLDWD
29 Sepvs Morocco0–2L
25 Sep@ Niger1–2L
7 Jun@ Kenya0–4L
4 Junvs Kenya1–1D
29 Marvs Seychelles2–1W
26 Mar@ Seychelles0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Gabon and Lesotho.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Comoros Congo 492229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.49 Mozambique Ethiopia 632412 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.43 Zambia Burundi 632512 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 Burkina Faso Mauritania 632413 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.38 Cape Verde Islands Liberia 652114 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 Nigeria Tanzania 76177 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.51 South Africa Kenya 681715 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.21 Tunisia Libya 72217 1Tunisia to win 72%@1.29

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gabon vs Lesotho?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Gabon vs Lesotho?

On our numbers Gabon have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lesotho 12%.

How many goals will there be in Gabon vs Lesotho?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

When is Gabon vs Lesotho?

Gabon vs Lesotho (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Franceville.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.