Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi

Tunisia

DDLLL
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Libya

LDDD

Tunisia vs Libya prediction & analysis

72%
Footrivo pick

Tunisia to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.29

7/10Rating
1.29Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultTunisia to win72% · @1.29
Double chanceTunisia or draw93% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016% · fair 6.15

Win chances

Tunisia72%fair 1.38 · @1.29
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @4.21
Libya7%fair 14.08 · @10.10
2.54Expected goals
2.03Tunisia xG
0.51Libya xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–08%

From our goals model: Tunisia 2.0 – 0.5 Libya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Tunisia are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 7% for Libya.

Tunisia have taken 2 points from their last 6 matches (0W 2D 4L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 3.3 per game. Libya have 3 points from their last 4 (0W 3D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

We expect around 2.5 goals (2.0 for Tunisia, 0.5 for Libya). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (16%), 1–0 (16%), 3–0 (11%).

Our pick is Tunisia to win at a 72% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.29 is close to our fair price of 1.38.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTunisia to win72%1.381.29
Double chanceTunisia or draw93%1.08–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score53%1.891.38
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.431.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals56%1.781.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.33–
Half-time resultTunisia ahead at half-time51%1.95–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tunisia / FT Tunisia48%2.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016%6.15–

Form

Tunisia – last 6

DDLLLL
28 Sep@ Botswana2–2D
24 Sepvs Uganda1–1D
26 Junvs Netherlands1–3L
21 Junvs Japan0–4L
15 Jun@ Sweden1–5L
6 Jun@ Belgium0–5L
0.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Libya – last 4

LDDD
29 Sep@ Uganda0–1L
24 Sepvs Botswana2–2D
31 Mar@ Liberia2–2D
27 Marvs Niger0–0D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Tunisia and Libya.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Comoros Congo 492229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.49 Mozambique Ethiopia 632412 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.43 Zambia Burundi 632512 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 Burkina Faso Mauritania 632413 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.38 Cape Verde Islands Liberia 652114 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 Gabon Lesotho 691912 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 Nigeria Tanzania 76177 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.51 South Africa Kenya 681715 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.21

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tunisia vs Libya?

Our pick is Tunisia to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.

Who will win Tunisia vs Libya?

On our numbers Tunisia have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Libya 7%.

How many goals will there be in Tunisia vs Libya?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

When is Tunisia vs Libya?

Tunisia vs Libya (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.