Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade

Senegal

WWDDW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Sudan

LW

Senegal vs Sudan prediction & analysis

69%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.41

7/10Rating
1.41Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSenegal to win75% · @1.05
Double chanceSenegal or draw92% · fair 1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.31
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016% · fair 6.14

Win chances

Senegal75%fair 1.33 · @1.05
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @7.60
Sudan8%fair 13.27 · @17.00
2.62Expected goals
2.12Senegal xG
0.50Sudan xG
44%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Senegal 2.1 – 0.5 Sudan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Senegal are clear favourites at home with a 75% chance of winning, against 8% for Sudan.

Senegal have taken 11 points from their last 6 matches (3W 2D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.0 per game. Sudan have 3 points from their last 2 (1W 0D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.6 goals (2.1 for Senegal, 0.5 for Sudan). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (16%), 1–0 (15%), 3–0 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 69% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.41 is close to our fair price of 1.45.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSenegal to win75%1.331.05
Double chanceSenegal or draw92%1.08–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.801.31
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals53%1.881.59
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals69%1.451.41
Half-time resultSenegal ahead at half-time53%1.89–
Half-time / full-timeHT Senegal / FT Senegal50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016%6.14–

Form

Senegal – last 6

WWDDWL
4 Oct@ Comoros1–0W
29 Sep@ Ethiopia1–0W
25 Sep@ Mozambique1–1D
1 Jul@ Belgium2–2D
26 Junvs Iraq5–0W
23 Jun@ Norway2–3L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sudan – last 2

LW
29 Sep@ Mozambique1–4L
25 Sepvs Ethiopia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Senegal and Sudan.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Ghana Somalia 75197 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 Congo DR Sierra Leone 711812 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20 Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 412434 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43 Guinea Eritrea 72198 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.33 Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 242254 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41 Benin Central African Republic 622018 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.40 Cameroon Namibia 721711 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.29 Ivory Coast Gambia 741610 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.37

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Senegal vs Sudan?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.41.

Who will win Senegal vs Sudan?

On our numbers Senegal have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Sudan 8%.

How many goals will there be in Senegal vs Sudan?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

When is Senegal vs Sudan?

Senegal vs Sudan (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Me Abdoulaye Wade.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.