Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Essipong Stadium

Ghana

LLLLD
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Somalia

LLDD

Ghana vs Somalia prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultGhana to win75% · @1.02
Double chanceGhana or draw93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.32
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–015% · fair 6.54

Win chances

Ghana75%fair 1.34 · @1.02
Draw19%fair 5.40 · @9.10
Somalia7%fair 14.48 · @17.00
2.78Expected goals
2.22Ghana xG
0.56Somalia xG
46%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%

From our goals model: Ghana 2.2 – 0.6 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ghana are clear favourites at home with a 75% chance of winning, against 7% for Somalia.

Ghana have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 1.5 per game. Somalia have 2 points from their last 4 (0W 2D 2L), averaging 0.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.2 for Ghana, 0.6 for Somalia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (14%), 3–0 (11%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.53 is close to our fair price of 1.55.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGhana to win75%1.341.02
Double chanceGhana or draw93%1.07–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score54%1.861.32
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.31–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.741.46
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.551.53
Half-time resultGhana ahead at half-time54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ghana / FT Ghana51%1.97–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–015%6.54–

Form

Ghana – last 6

LLLLDW
29 Sepvs Gambia2–4L
24 Sep@ Ivory Coast0–2L
4 Jul@ Colombia0–1L
27 Jun@ Croatia1–2L
23 Jun@ England0–0D
18 Junvs Panama1–0W
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Somalia – last 4

LLDD
29 Sepvs Ivory Coast0–2L
25 Sep@ Gambia1–2L
31 Mar@ Mauritius0–0D
27 Marvs Mauritius0–0D
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ghana and Somalia.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Congo DR Sierra Leone 711812 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20 Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 412434 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43 Guinea Eritrea 72198 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.33 Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 242254 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41 Benin Central African Republic 622018 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.40 Cameroon Namibia 721711 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.29 Ivory Coast Gambia 741610 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.37 Senegal Sudan 75178 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ghana vs Somalia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Ghana vs Somalia?

On our numbers Ghana have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Somalia 7%.

How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Somalia?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

When is Ghana vs Somalia?

Ghana vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Essipong Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.