Guinea
Eritrea
Guinea vs Eritrea prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.44 · bookmaker 1.33
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Guinea 2.1 – 0.6 Eritrea expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Guinea are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 8% for Eritrea.
Guinea have taken 4 points from their last 5 matches (1W 1D 3L), scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Eritrea have 7 points from their last 4 (2W 1D 1L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded. Eritrea come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.1 for Guinea, 0.6 for Eritrea). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (14%), 3–0 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.44.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Guinea to win | 72% | 1.39 | 1.13 |
| Double chance | Guinea or draw | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 54% | 1.85 | 1.41 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.70 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Guinea ahead at half-time | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Guinea / FT Guinea | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 15% | 6.83 | – |
Form
Guinea – last 5
| 1 Oct | vs Kenya | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Sep | @ South Africa | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Jun | @ Northern Ireland | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Benin | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Togo | 2–2 | D |
Eritrea – last 4
| 30 Sep | vs South Africa | 0–5 | L |
| 26 Sep | @ Kenya | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | @ Eswatini | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Mar | vs Eswatini | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guinea and Eritrea.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Guinea vs Eritrea?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Guinea vs Eritrea?
On our numbers Guinea have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Eritrea 8%.
How many goals will there be in Guinea vs Eritrea?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Guinea vs Eritrea?
Guinea vs Eritrea (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 28 Septembre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.