Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade de la Paix

Ivory Coast

LWWLW
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Gambia

WWLL

Ivory Coast vs Gambia prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.37

6/10Rating
1.37Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultIvory Coast to win74% · @1.13
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw90% · fair 1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score50% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–013% · fair 7.87

Win chances

Ivory Coast74%fair 1.35 · @1.13
Draw16%fair 6.18 · @5.98
Gambia10%fair 10.13 · @13.90
3.09Expected goals
2.36Ivory Coast xG
0.73Gambia xG
50%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%

From our goals model: Ivory Coast 2.4 – 0.7 Gambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Ivory Coast are clear favourites at home with a 74% chance of winning, against 10% for Gambia.

Ivory Coast have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Gambia have 6 points from their last 4 (2W 0D 2L), averaging 2.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.

We expect around 3.1 goals (2.4 for Ivory Coast, 0.7 for Gambia). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 3–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.37 is close to our fair price of 1.54.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIvory Coast to win74%1.351.13
Double chanceIvory Coast or draw90%1.11–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score50%2.001.48
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals58%1.731.64
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals65%1.541.37
Half-time resultIvory Coast ahead at half-time54%1.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ivory Coast / FT Ivory Coast50%2.01–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–013%7.87–

Form

Ivory Coast – last 6

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3 Octvs Cameroon0–1L
29 Sep@ Somalia2–0W
24 Sepvs Ghana2–0W
30 Junvs Norway1–2L
25 Jun@ Curaçao2–0W
20 Jun@ Germany1–2L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gambia – last 4

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29 Sep@ Ghana4–2W
25 Sepvs Somalia2–1W
29 May@ Iran1–3L
31 Mar@ Senegal1–3L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ivory Coast and Gambia.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Ghana Somalia 75197 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 Congo DR Sierra Leone 711812 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.20 Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 412434 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43 Guinea Eritrea 72198 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.33 Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 242254 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41 Benin Central African Republic 622018 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.40 Cameroon Namibia 721711 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.29 Senegal Sudan 75178 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.37.

Who will win Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

On our numbers Ivory Coast have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Gambia 10%.

How many goals will there be in Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

When is Ivory Coast vs Gambia?

Ivory Coast vs Gambia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Paix.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.