Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa · Stade des Martyrs

Congo DR

DLWWL
Thu 12 Nov 2026

Sierra Leone

LLLW

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.20

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultCongo DR to win71% · @1.15
Double chanceCongo DR or draw88% · fair 1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score52% · @1.28
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015% · fair 6.84

Win chances

Congo DR71%fair 1.41 · @1.15
Draw18%fair 5.70 · @5.28
Sierra Leone12%fair 8.66 · @15.00
2.61Expected goals
1.99Congo DR xG
0.62Sierra Leone xG
48%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–015%
2–015%
3–010%
1–19%
2–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Congo DR 2.0 – 0.6 Sierra Leone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Congo DR are clear favourites at home with a 71% chance of winning, against 12% for Sierra Leone.

Congo DR have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Sierra Leone have 3 points from their last 4 (1W 0D 3L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Congo DR come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.6 goals (2.0 for Congo DR, 0.6 for Sierra Leone). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 48%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15%), 2–0 (15%), 3–0 (10%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 75% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.34.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCongo DR to win71%1.411.15
Double chanceCongo DR or draw88%1.13–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score52%1.911.28
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals72%1.391.29
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals53%1.881.66
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals75%1.341.20
Half-time resultCongo DR ahead at half-time49%2.03–
Half-time / full-timeHT Congo DR / FT Congo DR45%2.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–015%6.84–

Form

Congo DR – last 6

DLWWLW
5 Oct@ Uganda1–1D
2 Octvs Uganda0–2L
28 Sep@ Zimbabwe2–1W
24 Sepvs Equatorial Guinea2–0W
1 Jul@ England1–2L
28 Junvs Uzbekistan3–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sierra Leone – last 4

LLLW
28 Sep@ Equatorial Guinea0–1L
24 Sepvs Zimbabwe2–3L
9 Jun@ Liberia1–3L
6 Junvs Liberia1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Congo DR and Sierra Leone.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Ghana Somalia 75197 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.53 Equatorial Guinea Zimbabwe 412434 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.43 Guinea Eritrea 72198 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 70%@1.33 Madagascar Guinea-Bissau 242254 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 66%@1.41 Benin Central African Republic 622018 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 67%@1.40 Cameroon Namibia 721711 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.29 Ivory Coast Gambia 741610 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 65%@1.37 Senegal Sudan 75178 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 69%@1.41

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

On our numbers Congo DR have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sierra Leone 12%.

How many goals will there be in Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

When is Congo DR vs Sierra Leone?

Congo DR vs Sierra Leone (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade des Martyrs.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.