Equatorial Guinea
Zimbabwe
Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.43
Value bet: Zimbabwe to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Equatorial Guinea 1.3 – 1.2 Zimbabwe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Equatorial Guinea hold the edge on home soil with a 41% chance of winning, against 34% for Zimbabwe.
Equatorial Guinea have taken 4 points from their last 4 matches (1W 1D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Zimbabwe have 6 points from their last 4 (2W 0D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.3 for Equatorial Guinea, 1.2 for Zimbabwe). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 1–0 (11%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.43 is close to our fair price of 1.49. For a bigger price, Zimbabwe to win at 3.25 is our value angle (34% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Equatorial Guinea to win | 41% | 2.42 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 76% | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 52% | 1.94 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.43 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 77% | 1.31 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 45% | 2.25 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Equatorial Guinea / FT Equatorial Guinea | 23% | 4.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 11% | 8.99 | – |
Form
Equatorial Guinea – last 4
| 28 Sep | vs Sierra Leone | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Sep | @ Congo DR | 0–2 | L |
| 8 Jun | vs Comoros | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Madagascar | 1–1 | D |
Zimbabwe – last 4
| 28 Sep | vs Congo DR | 1–2 | L |
| 24 Sep | @ Sierra Leone | 3–2 | W |
| 26 May | @ Nigeria | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Mar | vs Zambia U23 | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Equatorial Guinea and Zimbabwe.
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
Ghana
Somalia
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
65%@1.53
Congo DR
Sierra Leone
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.20
Guinea
Eritrea
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
70%@1.33
Madagascar
Guinea-Bissau
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
66%@1.41
Benin
Central African Republic
O1.5Over 1.5 goals
67%@1.40
Cameroon
Namibia
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
75%@1.29
Ivory Coast
Gambia
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
65%@1.37
Senegal
Sudan
U3.5Under 3.5 goals
69%@1.41
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.
Who will win Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
On our numbers Equatorial Guinea have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zimbabwe 34%.
How many goals will there be in Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe?
Equatorial Guinea vs Zimbabwe (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Thursday 12 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Nuevo Estadio de Malabo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.