Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification · Africa

Morocco

WWLWD
Fri 13 Nov 2026

Niger

LLWLD

Morocco vs Niger prediction & analysis

63%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.59

6/10Rating
1.59Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultMorocco to win79% · @1.01
Double chanceMorocco or draw92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · @1.33
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016% · fair 6.31

Win chances

Morocco79%fair 1.27 · @1.01
Draw13%fair 7.52 · @9.75
Niger8%fair 12.28 · @17.00
2.79Expected goals
2.27Morocco xG
0.52Niger xG
44%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–016%
1–014%
3–012%
2–18%
1–17%
4–07%

From our goals model: Morocco 2.3 – 0.5 Niger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Morocco are clear favourites at home with a 79% chance of winning, against 8% for Niger.

Morocco have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Niger have 4 points from their last 6 (1W 1D 4L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Morocco come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 2.8 goals (2.3 for Morocco, 0.5 for Niger). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 59%, both teams to score at 44%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (16%), 1–0 (14%), 3–0 (12%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.59 is close to our fair price of 1.58.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMorocco to win79%1.271.01
Double chanceMorocco or draw92%1.09–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score56%1.791.33
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals59%1.701.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals63%1.581.59
Half-time resultMorocco ahead at half-time55%1.81–
Half-time / full-timeHT Morocco / FT Morocco52%1.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–016%6.31–

Form

Morocco – last 6

WWLWDW
29 Sep@ Lesotho2–0W
25 Sepvs Gabon2–0W
9 Jul@ France0–2L
4 Jul@ Canada3–0W
30 Jun@ Netherlands1–1D
24 Junvs Haiti4–2W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Niger – last 6

LLWLDL
6 Oct@ Algeria1–2L
29 Sep@ Gabon0–2L
25 Sepvs Lesotho2–1W
8 Junvs Mauritania0–1L
5 Jun@ Benin1–1D
31 Marvs Togo0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Niger.

More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions

Comoros Congo 492229 U2.5Under 2.5 goals 63%@1.49 Mozambique Ethiopia 632412 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 64%@1.43 Zambia Burundi 632512 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 Burkina Faso Mauritania 632413 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 68%@1.38 Cape Verde Islands Liberia 652114 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 72%@1.33 Gabon Lesotho 691912 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 Nigeria Tanzania 76177 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.51 South Africa Kenya 681715 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 74%@1.21

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morocco vs Niger?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.59.

Who will win Morocco vs Niger?

On our numbers Morocco have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Niger 8%.

How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Niger?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

When is Morocco vs Niger?

Morocco vs Niger (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.