Egypt
Malawi
Egypt vs Malawi prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.21
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Egypt 2.3 – 0.6 Malawi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Egypt are clear favourites at home with a 78% chance of winning, against 8% for Malawi.
Egypt have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Malawi have 4 points from their last 4 (1W 1D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (2.3 for Egypt, 0.6 for Malawi). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 46%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (15%), 1–0 (13%), 3–0 (12%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.21 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Egypt to win | 78% | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| Double chance | Egypt or draw | 92% | 1.09 | – |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 54% | 1.86 | 1.25 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.21 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | 1.29 |
| Half-time result | Egypt ahead at half-time | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Egypt / FT Egypt | 52% | 1.92 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 15% | 6.61 | – |
Form
Egypt – last 6
| 4 Oct | vs South Africa | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Sep | @ South Sudan | 5–0 | W |
| 25 Sep | vs Angola | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Jul | @ Argentina | 2–3 | L |
| 3 Jul | @ Australia | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Jun | vs Iran | 1–1 | D |
Malawi – last 4
| 6 Oct | @ Angola | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Sep | vs South Sudan | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Jun | @ Ethiopia | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | @ Ethiopia | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Egypt and Malawi.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Egypt vs Malawi?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Egypt vs Malawi?
On our numbers Egypt have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Malawi 8%.
How many goals will there be in Egypt vs Malawi?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
When is Egypt vs Malawi?
Egypt vs Malawi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 13 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Cairo International Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.