Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSudan to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceSudan or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓20% · fair 5.10
Sudan vs Ethiopia preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia travel to Juba Stadium in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Friday 25 September (17:00 WAT) to face Sudan. Sudan are 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Ethiopia sit 4th on 4 points.
Form guide
Ethiopia's last 4: DWWW Most recently they drew with Malawi 1–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.4 for Sudan and 0.6 for Ethiopia. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sudan 60%, draw 24%, Ethiopia 15%.
Safer route: Sudan or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sudan to win – a 60% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sudan 1–0 Ethiopia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sudan60%fair 1.65 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.00
Ethiopia15%fair 6.59 · @4.40
2.00Expected goals
1.45Sudan xG
0.55Ethiopia xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sudan 1.4 – 0.6 Ethiopia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sudan to win✓
60%
1.65
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Sudan or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sudan / FT Sudan✗
36%
2.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
20%
5.10
–
Form
Sudan
No recent results on record.
Ethiopia – last 4
DWWW
9 Jun
vs Malawi
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs Malawi
1–0
W
31 Mar
vs Sao Tome and Principe
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Sao Tome and Principe
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sudan and Ethiopia.
Our pick is Sudan to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sudan vs Ethiopia?
On our numbers Sudan have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ethiopia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sudan vs Ethiopia?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudan vs Ethiopia?
Our predicted score is Sudan 1–0 Ethiopia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Sudan vs Ethiopia?
Sudan vs Ethiopia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Juba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Liberia1
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