Gambia vs Somalia prediction & analysis
Not both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Gambia 0.5 – 0.0 Somalia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Gambia are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 8% for Somalia.
Gambia have taken 0 points from their last 2 matches (0W 0D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 3.0 per game. Somalia have 2 points from their last 2 (0W 2D 0L), averaging 0.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Somalia come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 0.5 goals (0.5 for Gambia, 0.0 for Somalia). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 99% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 0–0 (61%), 1–0 (29%), 2–0 (7%).
Our pick is Not both teams to score at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.33 is close to our fair price of 1.54.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Gambia to win ✓ | 72% | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Double chance | Gambia or draw ✓ | 92% | 1.09 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 65% | 1.54 | 1.33 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 99% | 1.01 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 100% | 1.00 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Draw / FT Draw ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 29% | 3.43 | – |
Form
Gambia – last 2
| 29 May | @ Iran | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Senegal | 1–3 | L |
Somalia – last 2
| 31 Mar | @ Mauritius | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Mar | vs Mauritius | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gambia and Somalia.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Comoros | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Tunisia | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Gambia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Madagascar | 6 | -4 | 2 |
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
League hub
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Ethiopia0
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Burundi0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Gambia vs Somalia?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Gambia vs Somalia?
On our numbers Gambia have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Somalia 8%.
How many goals will there be in Gambia vs Somalia?
We expect about 0.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 1% likely and both teams score 35% of the time on our projection.
When is Gambia vs Somalia?
Gambia vs Somalia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Independence Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.