Niger vs Lesotho prediction & analysis
Niger to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Niger 1.1 – 0.4 Lesotho expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Niger hold the edge on home soil with a 58% chance of winning, against 17% for Lesotho.
Niger have taken 2 points from their last 4 matches (0W 2D 2L), scoring 0.3 and conceding 0.8 per game. Lesotho have 5 points from their last 4 (1W 2D 1L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. Lesotho come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.5 goals (1.1 for Niger, 0.4 for Lesotho). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (25%), 0–0 (22%), 2–0 (14%).
Our pick is Niger to win at a 58% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.70 is close to our fair price of 1.73.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Niger to win ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Niger or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.21 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Niger / FT Niger ✓ | 31% | 3.26 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 25% | 4.05 | – |
Form
Niger – last 4
| 8 Jun | vs Mauritania | 0–1 | L |
| 5 Jun | @ Benin | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | vs Togo | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ Libya | 0–0 | D |
Lesotho – last 4
| 7 Jun | @ Kenya | 0–4 | L |
| 4 Jun | vs Kenya | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | vs Seychelles | 2–1 | W |
| 26 Mar | @ Seychelles | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Niger and Lesotho.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Morocco | 6 | +24 | 18 |
| 2 |  Gabon | 6 | -2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Lesotho | 6 | -11 | 4 |
| 4 |  Central African Republic | 6 | -11 | 3 |
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Burundi0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Niger vs Lesotho?
Our pick is Niger to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Niger vs Lesotho?
On our numbers Niger have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lesotho 17%.
How many goals will there be in Niger vs Lesotho?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
When is Niger vs Lesotho?
Niger vs Lesotho (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Ohene Djan Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.