Armenia vs Latvia prediction & analysis

Armenia vs Latvia preview and prediction

The match

Latvia travel to Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 25 September (17:00 WAT) to face Armenia. Armenia are 3rd with 4 points from 4 games, while Latvia sit 4th on 1 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Armenia's last 3: DDL Most recently they drew with Moldova 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Latvia's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Faroe Islands 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Latvia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.7.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Armenia 63%, draw 25%, Latvia 12%.
• Safer route: Armenia or draw (88%) at 1.18.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Armenia to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.