Sweden vs Romania prediction & analysis
Sweden to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Sweden are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 14% for Romania.
Sweden have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.5 per game. Romania have 4 points from their last 4 (1W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Our pick is Sweden to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Sweden to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Sweden or draw ✓ | 86% | 1.16 | 1.12 |
Form
Sweden – last 6
| 30 Jun | @ France | 0–3 | L |
| 26 Jun | @ Japan | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Jun | @ Netherlands | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Jun | vs Tunisia | 5–1 | W |
| 4 Jun | vs Greece | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Jun | @ Norway | 1–3 | L |
Romania – last 4
| 6 Jun | vs Wales | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Jun | @ Georgia | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Mar | @ Slovakia | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Mar | @ Türkiye | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sweden and Romania.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 2 |  Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | +3 | 4 |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | -10 | 0 |
More UEFA Nations League predictions
League hub
Georgia0
Northern Ireland1
Armenia2
Latvia0
Türkiye0
France1
Italy0
Belgium2
Hungary0
Ukraine1
Montenegro2
Cyprus1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sweden vs Romania?
Our pick is Sweden to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sweden vs Romania?
On our numbers Sweden have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Romania 14%.
When is Sweden vs Romania?
Sweden vs Romania (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Strawberry Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.