Georgia vs Northern Ireland prediction & analysis

Georgia vs Northern Ireland preview and prediction

The match

Northern Ireland travel to Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena in the UEFA Nations League on Friday 25 September (17:00 WAT) to face Georgia. Georgia are 4th with 2 points from 4 games, while Northern Ireland sit 1st on 8 points.

Form guide

Georgia's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Bahrain 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Northern Ireland's last 4: LWDL Most recently they lost to France 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Georgia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Betting angles

• Win chances: Georgia 62%, draw 24%, Northern Ireland 14%.
• Safer route: Georgia or draw (86%) at 1.22.
• Value angle: Georgia to win at 1.80 – 62% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Georgia or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.