Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.00 – our chance 58% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +74%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗58% · @3.00
Double chanceHungary or draw ✗82% · @1.33
Hungary vs Ukraine preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Nations League sees Hungary take on Ukraine on Friday 25 September, kicking off at 19:45 (WAT) at Puskás Aréna. Hungary are 2nd with 7 points from 4 games, while Ukraine sit 3rd on 4 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hungary's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Kazakhstan 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Ukraine's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Poland 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hungary 24%, draw 58%, Ukraine 18%.
Safer route: Hungary or draw (82%) at 1.33.
Value angle: Draw at 3.00 – 58% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hungary or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hungary24%fair 4.15 · @2.25
Draw58%fair 1.72 · @3.00
Ukraine18%fair 5.61 · @3.00
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
58%
1.72
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Hungary or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.33 ▲
Form
Hungary – last 3
WWD
9 Jun
vs Kazakhstan
3–1
W
5 Jun
vs Finland
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Greece
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ukraine – last 3
WWL
31 May
@ Poland
2–0
W
31 Mar
vs Albania
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Sweden
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Ukraine.
Our pick is Hungary or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Hungary vs Ukraine?
On our numbers Hungary have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 58% and Ukraine 18%.
When is Hungary vs Ukraine?
Hungary vs Ukraine (UEFA Nations League) kicks off on Friday 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Armenia2
Latvia0
Türkiye0
France1
Italy0
Belgium2
Poland0
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Sweden2
Romania1
Montenegro2
Cyprus1