Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁguilas to win ✓59% · @1.62
Double chanceÁguilas or draw ✓84% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.19
Águilas vs Utebo preview and prediction
The match
Águilas host Utebo in the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Águilas's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Almería II 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Utebo's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Sestao River 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Águilas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Águilas and 0.9 for Utebo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águilas 59%, draw 25%, Utebo 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Águilas 2–0 Utebo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas59%fair 1.70 · @1.62
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Utebo16%fair 6.20 · @5.00
2.71Expected goals
1.84Águilas xG
0.87Utebo xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Águilas 1.8 – 0.9 Utebo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas to win✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Double chance
Águilas or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Águilas ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas / FT Águilas✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.19
–
Form
Águilas – last 6
WLWWWL
3 May
vs Almería II
2–0
W
26 Apr
@ Estepona
1–2
L
12 Apr
@ Melilla
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Xerez Deportivo
3–0
W
8 Mar
vs Puente Genil
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Real Jaén
1–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Utebo – last 6
LWLDLD
3 May
@ Sestao River
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Ebro
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Real Unión
2–3
L
15 Mar
vs Real Zaragoza II
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Deportivo Alavés II
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Ejea
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas and Utebo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Águilas vs Utebo?
On our numbers Águilas have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Utebo 16%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas vs Utebo?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas vs Utebo?
Our predicted score is Águilas 2–0 Utebo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Águilas vs Utebo?
Águilas vs Utebo (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Poblense2
Numancia1
Deportiva Minera0
CD Coria1
Atlético Baleares1
Coruxo1
SS Reyes1
Alcoyano1
Deportivo Alavés II0
Real Jaén1
SD Logroñés1
Castellón II0