Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.10 – our chance 56% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +72%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.10
Double chanceSS Reyes or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
SS Reyes vs Alcoyano preview and prediction
The match
SS Reyes host Alcoyano in the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
SS Reyes's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Tenerife II 3–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Alcoyano's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Porreres 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for SS Reyes and 0.9 for Alcoyano. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: SS Reyes 28%, draw 56%, Alcoyano 16%.
Safer route: SS Reyes or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Value angle: Draw at 3.10 – 56% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was SS Reyes or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: SS Reyes 1–0 Alcoyano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SS Reyes28%fair 3.55 · @2.00
Draw56%fair 1.80 · @3.10
Alcoyano16%fair 6.17 · @3.40
2.00Expected goals
1.11SS Reyes xG
0.89Alcoyano xG
43%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: SS Reyes 1.1 – 0.9 Alcoyano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
56%
1.80
3.10 ▲
Double chance
SS Reyes or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SS Reyes / FT SS Reyes✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
SS Reyes – last 6
WLWWDW
3 May
@ Tenerife II
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Real Madrid III
0–3
L
5 Apr
@ Intercity
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Las Palmas II
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ CD Coria
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Quintanar del Rey
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alcoyano – last 6
DWDWWW
3 May
@ Porreres
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Sant Andreu
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Andratx
0–0
D
5 Apr
@ Atlètic Lleida
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Torrent
4–1
W
22 Mar
@ Girona II
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SS Reyes and Alcoyano.
Our pick is SS Reyes or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
On our numbers SS Reyes have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Alcoyano 16%.
How many goals will there be in SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
Our predicted score is SS Reyes 1–0 Alcoyano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is SS Reyes vs Alcoyano?
SS Reyes vs Alcoyano (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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