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Segunda División RFEF Play Offs · Spain

Deportivo Alavés II

DWWLD
0–1
FTAET 0–2

Real Jaén

DWWDW

Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén prediction & analysis

55%
Footrivo pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.81 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.50Odds
1

Value bet: Deportivo Alavés II to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.75

Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén preview and prediction

The match

Deportivo Alavés II host Real Jaén in the Segunda División RFEF Play Offs on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).

Form guide

Deportivo Alavés II's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Gernika 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Real Jaén's last 5: DWWDW Most recently they drew with Antoniano 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Real Jaén arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.5.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Deportivo Alavés II and 1.2 for Real Jaén. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 55% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Deportivo Alavés II 1–1 Real Jaén. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Deportivo Alavés II44%fair 2.26 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
Real Jaén33%fair 3.01 · @2.55
2.64Expected goals
1.44Deportivo Alavés II xG
1.20Real Jaén xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–19%
1–27%
2–07%

From our goals model: Deportivo Alavés II 1.4 – 1.2 Real Jaén expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Alavés II to win ✗44%2.262.55 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.38–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.34–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Alavés II / FT Deportivo Alavés II ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%9.75–

Form

Deportivo Alavés II – last 6

DWWLDD
3 May@ Gernika0–0D
26 Apr@ Tudelano2–1W
12 Apr@ Real Zaragoza II2–1W
5 Aprvs Amorebieta1–2L
29 Mar@ UD Logroñés1–1D
22 Marvs Basconia0–0D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Real Jaén – last 6

DWWDWW
3 Mayvs Antoniano1–1D
26 Apr@ Ucam Murcia2–1W
15 Marvs Yeclano1–0W
8 Mar@ Linares Deportivo1–1D
1 Marvs Águilas3–1W
25 Feb@ Xerez Deportivo3–1W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Alavés II and Real Jaén.

Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén head-to-head page →

More Segunda División RFEF Play Offs predictions

FT Poblense2 Numancia1 124%2.25X58%3.00218%2.90 1XPoblense or draw 82%@1.28 ✓
FT Deportiva Minera0 CD Coria1 166%1.73X21%3.35212%4.20 1Deportiva Minera to win 66%@1.73 ✗
FT Atlético Baleares1 Coruxo1 166%1.68X21%3.35213%4.33 1Atlético Baleares to win 66%@1.68 ✗
FT SS Reyes1 Alcoyano1 128%2.00X56%3.10216%3.40 1XSS Reyes or draw 84%@1.22 ✓
FT SD Logroñés1 Castellón II0 145%2.20X21%3.40234%2.75 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 85%@1.20 ✗
FT Águilas2 Utebo1 159%1.62X25%3.40216%5.00 O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

On our numbers Deportivo Alavés II have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Real Jaén 33%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Alavés II 1–1 Real Jaén, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén?

Deportivo Alavés II vs Real Jaén (Segunda División RFEF Play Offs) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.