Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonterey Bay to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.30
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights preview and prediction
The match
Monterey Bay host Las Vegas Lights in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 03:00 (WAT) at Cardinale Stadium. Monterey Bay are 25th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Las Vegas Lights sit 30th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monterey Bay's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with San Antonio 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to El Paso Locomotive 1–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Monterey Bay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 March 2026, finished Las Vegas Lights 1–0 Monterey Bay.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Monterey Bay and 1.5 for Las Vegas Lights. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monterey Bay 43%, draw 22%, Las Vegas Lights 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monterey Bay43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.55
Las Vegas Lights35%fair 2.86 · @2.80
3.08Expected goals
1.63Monterey Bay xG
1.45Las Vegas Lights xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Monterey Bay 1.6 – 1.5 Las Vegas Lights expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
On our numbers Monterey Bay have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Las Vegas Lights 35%.
How many goals will there be in Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
Our predicted score is Monterey Bay 1–1 Las Vegas Lights, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights?
Monterey Bay vs Las Vegas Lights (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Cardinale Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
