Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTampa Bay Rowdies to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceTampa Bay Rowdies or draw ✓84% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One Cup sees Tampa Bay Rowdies take on Naples on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Al Lang Stadium. Tampa Bay Rowdies are 3rd with 12 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Naples sit 37th on 3 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Tampa Bay Rowdies's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Lexington 1–4 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Naples's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to NY Cosmos 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded.
Tampa Bay Rowdies arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Tampa Bay Rowdies 3–0 Naples.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.3 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.0 for Naples. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tampa Bay Rowdies 67%, draw 18%, Naples 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–1 Naples. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tampa Bay Rowdies67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @5.20
Naples16%fair 6.44 · @9.20
3.31Expected goals
2.30Tampa Bay Rowdies xG
1.01Naples xG
59%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tampa Bay Rowdies 2.3 – 1.0 Naples expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
On our numbers Tampa Bay Rowdies have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Naples 16%.
How many goals will there be in Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
Our predicted score is Tampa Bay Rowdies 2–1 Naples, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples?
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Naples (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Al Lang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
