Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Miami FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiami FC to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.60
Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC preview and prediction
The match
Sarasota Paradise host Miami FC in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Premier Sports Campus. Sarasota Paradise are 39th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Miami FC sit 6th on 9 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Greenville Triumph 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Miami FC's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with Birmingham Legion 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.0 for Sarasota Paradise and 1.9 for Miami FC. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sarasota Paradise 24%, draw 12%, Miami FC 64%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Miami FC to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarasota Paradise 0–1 Miami FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarasota Paradise24%fair 4.17 · @3.55
Draw12%fair 8.14 · @3.75
Miami FC64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
2.91Expected goals
0.99Sarasota Paradise xG
1.92Miami FC xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–110%
1–110%
0–210%
1–210%
0–36%
1–36%
From our goals model: Sarasota Paradise 1.0 – 1.9 Miami FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Miami FC to win✓
64%
1.57
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.20 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Half-time result
Miami FC ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Miami FC / FT Miami FC✓
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.60
–
Form
Sarasota Paradise – last 6
DDLWLW
9 Jul
@ Greenville Triumph
0–0
D
4 Jul
@ Richmond Kickers
0–0
D
21 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
1–4
L
14 Jun
vs Union Omaha
2–0
W
11 Jun
@ Alta
1–3
L
7 Jun
@ Naples
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Miami FC – last 6
DLDLWL
6 Jul
vs Birmingham Legion
1–1
D
25 Jun
vs Orange County SC
2–4
L
14 Jun
@ Oakland Roots
0–0
D
31 May
@ Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0–2
L
24 May
vs Louisville City
4–3
W
21 May
@ Detroit City
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarasota Paradise and Miami FC.
What is the prediction for Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
Our pick is Miami FC to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
On our numbers Sarasota Paradise have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Miami FC 64%.
How many goals will there be in Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
Our predicted score is Sarasota Paradise 0–1 Miami FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC?
Sarasota Paradise vs Miami FC (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Premier Sports Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
