Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers prediction & analysis
86%
Footrivo pick
Greenville Triumph or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Greenville Triumph to win @ 1.80 – our chance 66% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGreenville Triumph to win ✗66% · @1.80
Double chanceGreenville Triumph or draw ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers preview and prediction
The match
Greenville Triumph host Richmond Kickers in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Paladin Stadium. Greenville Triumph are 29th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Richmond Kickers sit 38th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Greenville Triumph's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Sarasota Paradise 0–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Richmond Kickers's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Sarasota Paradise 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 4 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Greenville Triumph arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished Greenville Triumph 0–3 Richmond Kickers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Greenville Triumph and 0.8 for Richmond Kickers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%.
Safer route: Greenville Triumph or draw (86%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Greenville Triumph to win at 1.80 – 66% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Greenville Triumph or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Greenville Triumph 2–0 Richmond Kickers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Greenville Triumph66%fair 1.52 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.65
Richmond Kickers14%fair 7.26 · @3.65
2.86Expected goals
2.04Greenville Triumph xG
0.82Richmond Kickers xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Greenville Triumph 2.0 – 0.8 Richmond Kickers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
Our pick is Greenville Triumph or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
On our numbers Greenville Triumph have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Richmond Kickers 14%.
How many goals will there be in Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
Our predicted score is Greenville Triumph 2–0 Richmond Kickers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Paladin Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
