Value bet: Portland Hearts of Pine to win @ 1.62 – our chance 66% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortland Hearts of Pine to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗71% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos preview and prediction
The match
Portland Hearts of Pine host NY Cosmos in the USL League One Cup on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Fitzpatrick Stadium. Portland Hearts of Pine are 24th with 6 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while NY Cosmos sit 36th on 3 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portland Hearts of Pine's last 5: WWLLL Most recently they beat Naples 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
NY Cosmos's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Naples 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Portland Hearts of Pine arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.6 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.3 for NY Cosmos. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portland Hearts of Pine 66%, draw 16%, NY Cosmos 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Portland Hearts of Pine to win at 1.62 – 66% on our numbers against 62% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 NY Cosmos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portland Hearts of Pine66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
Draw16%fair 6.40 · @4.20
NY Cosmos19%fair 5.40 · @4.00
3.95Expected goals
2.62Portland Hearts of Pine xG
1.33NY Cosmos xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Portland Hearts of Pine 2.6 – 1.3 NY Cosmos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portland Hearts of Pine to win✗
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
2.10 ▲
Half-time result
Portland Hearts of Pine ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portland Hearts of Pine / FT Portland Hearts of Pine✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Form
Portland Hearts of Pine – last 6
WWLLLL
4 Jul
@ Naples
3–2
W
25 Jun
vs Richmond Kickers
5–1
W
20 Jun
@ Westchester SC
1–5
L
13 Jun
vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Brooklyn
1–5
L
4 Jun
@ Corpus Christi
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
NY Cosmos – last 6
WLLLLL
9 Jul
vs Naples
1–0
W
5 Jul
vs Greenville Triumph
0–3
L
28 Jun
vs Santos Laguna
1–2
L
21 Jun
@ Forward Madison
1–3
L
14 Jun
@ One Knoxville
1–3
L
7 Jun
vs Hartford Athletic
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portland Hearts of Pine and NY Cosmos.
What is the prediction for Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
On our numbers Portland Hearts of Pine have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 16% and NY Cosmos 19%.
How many goals will there be in Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
Our predicted score is Portland Hearts of Pine 2–1 NY Cosmos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos?
Portland Hearts of Pine vs NY Cosmos (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Fitzpatrick Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
