El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultEl Paso Locomotive to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.72
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One Cup sees El Paso Locomotive take on New Mexico United on Sunday 12 July, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Southwest University Park. El Paso Locomotive are 20th with 6 points from 4 games (in the top half), while New Mexico United sit 13th on 9 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
El Paso Locomotive's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Las Vegas Lights 2–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
New Mexico United's last 5: WDWDW Most recently they beat Oakland Roots 2–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
New Mexico United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 May 2026, finished New Mexico United 2–2 El Paso Locomotive. Across their last 2 meetings El Paso Locomotive have won 1, New Mexico United 0, with 1 draw and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.7 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.3 for New Mexico United. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: El Paso Locomotive 49%, draw 20%, New Mexico United 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: El Paso Locomotive 1–1 New Mexico United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
El Paso Locomotive49%fair 2.05 · @2.10
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.60
New Mexico United31%fair 3.20 · @2.88
3.08Expected goals
1.74El Paso Locomotive xG
1.34New Mexico United xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: El Paso Locomotive 1.7 – 1.3 New Mexico United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?
On our numbers El Paso Locomotive have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 20% and New Mexico United 31%.
How many goals will there be in El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?
Our predicted score is El Paso Locomotive 1–1 New Mexico United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United?
El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United (USL League One Cup) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Southwest University Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
