Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 52% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEcuador to win ✓70% · @1.19
Double chanceEcuador or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @2.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.29
Ecuador vs Guatemala preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Ecuador take on Guatemala on Sunday 7 June, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Ohio Stadium.
Form guide
Ecuador's last 3: WDD Most recently they beat Saudi Arabia 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Ecuador and 0.8 for Guatemala. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.40 – 52% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ecuador 2–0 Guatemala. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ecuador70%fair 1.44 · @1.19
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @6.20
Guatemala10%fair 10.19 · @15.00
3.07Expected goals
2.28Ecuador xG
0.79Guatemala xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ecuador 2.3 – 0.8 Guatemala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ecuador to win✓
70%
1.44
1.19
Double chance
Ecuador or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
2.40 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Half-time result
Ecuador ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ecuador / FT Ecuador✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.29
–
Form
Ecuador – last 3
WDD
31 May
vs Saudi Arabia
2–1
W
31 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Morocco
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Guatemala – last 2
LL
5 Jun
@ Czech Republic
1–3
L
27 Mar
@ Algeria
0–7
L
0.5Scored / game
5.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ecuador and Guatemala.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ecuador vs Guatemala?
On our numbers Ecuador have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Guatemala 10%.
How many goals will there be in Ecuador vs Guatemala?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ecuador vs Guatemala?
Our predicted score is Ecuador 2–0 Guatemala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ecuador vs Guatemala?
Ecuador vs Guatemala (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Ohio Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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