Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.30
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDenmark to win67% · @1.65
Double chanceDenmark or draw90% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–024% · fair 4.13
Denmark vs Ukraine preview and prediction
The match
Denmark host Ukraine in the Friendlies on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 17:30 (WAT) at Nature Energy Park.
Form guide
Ukraine's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Poland 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.4 for Denmark and 0.3 for Ukraine. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Denmark 67%, draw 23%, Ukraine 10%.
Safer route: Denmark or draw (90%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.23, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Denmark 1–0 Ukraine. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Denmark67%fair 1.50 · @1.65
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.70
Ukraine10%fair 9.95 · @5.10
1.78Expected goals
1.44Denmark xG
0.34Ukraine xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–024%
2–017%
0–017%
3–08%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Denmark 1.4 – 0.3 Ukraine expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Denmark to win
67%
1.50
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Denmark or draw
90%
1.11
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
62%
1.61
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.30 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Denmark / FT Denmark
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
24%
4.13
–
Form
Denmark – last 2
DW
3 Jun
@ Congo DR
0–0
D
26 Mar
vs FYR Macedonia
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ukraine – last 3
WWL
31 May
@ Poland
2–0
W
31 Mar
vs Albania
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Sweden
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Denmark and Ukraine.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Denmark vs Ukraine?
On our numbers Denmark have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ukraine 10%.
How many goals will there be in Denmark vs Ukraine?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Denmark vs Ukraine?
Our predicted score is Denmark 1–0 Ukraine, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Denmark vs Ukraine?
Denmark vs Ukraine (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Nature Energy Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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