Value bet: Pakistan to win @ 2.85 – our chance 38% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPakistan to win ✓38% · @2.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.55
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.27
Afghanistan vs Pakistan preview and prediction
The match
Pakistan travel to National Stadium in the Friendlies on Sunday 7 June (12:00 WAT) to face Afghanistan.
Form guide
Afghanistan's last 3: DLL Most recently they drew with Bangladesh U23 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Afghanistan and 0.8 for Pakistan. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Pakistan to win at 2.85 – 38% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.45, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Afghanistan 0–0 Pakistan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Afghanistan38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.00
Pakistan38%fair 2.65 · @2.85
1.64Expected goals
0.82Afghanistan xG
0.82Pakistan xG
48%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
0–116%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Afghanistan 0.8 – 0.8 Pakistan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakistan to win✓
38%
2.65
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.55 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.27
–
Form
Afghanistan – last 3
DLL
4 Jun
vs Bangladesh U23
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Syria
1–5
L
26 Mar
vs Myanmar
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pakistan – last 2
WL
4 Jun
@ Maldives
3–0
W
31 Mar
vs Myanmar
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
What is the prediction for Afghanistan vs Pakistan?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Afghanistan vs Pakistan?
On our numbers Afghanistan have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pakistan 38%.
How many goals will there be in Afghanistan vs Pakistan?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Afghanistan vs Pakistan?
Our predicted score is Afghanistan 0–0 Pakistan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Afghanistan vs Pakistan?
Afghanistan vs Pakistan (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Curaçao4
Aruba0
Argentina2
Honduras0
Liechtenstein0
Cyprus2
Kenya4
Lesotho0
Oman
Mozambique
Maldives1
Bangladesh U231
Denmark2
Ukraine1
Kosovo3
Andorra0