Curaçao vs Aruba prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.40 – our chance 55% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Curaçao 3.2 – 1.1 Aruba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Curaçao are clear favourites at home with a 75% chance of winning, against 6% for Aruba.
Curaçao have taken 0 points from their last 3 matches (0W 0D 3L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 3.7 per game. Aruba have 6 points from their last 2 (2W 0D 0L), averaging 4.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Aruba come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 4.3 goals (3.2 for Curaçao, 1.1 for Aruba). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 3–1 (8%), 2–1 (8%), 3–0 (8%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.36 is close to our fair price of 1.35. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.40 is our value angle (55% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Curaçao to win ✓ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.09 |
| Double chance | Curaçao or draw ✓ | 94% | 1.06 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 55% | 1.81 | 2.40 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 89% | 1.13 | 1.10 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 74% | 1.35 | 1.36 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Over 3.5 goals ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.93 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Curaçao ahead at half-time ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Curaçao / FT Curaçao ✗ | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 3–1 ✗ | 8% | 12.24 | – |
Form
Curaçao – last 3
| 30 May | @ Scotland | 1–4 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Australia | 1–5 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ China | 0–2 | L |
Aruba – last 2
| 29 Mar | vs Liechtenstein | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Mar | vs Mação | 4–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Curaçao and Aruba.
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Andorra0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Curaçao vs Aruba?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Curaçao vs Aruba?
On our numbers Curaçao have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Aruba 6%.
How many goals will there be in Curaçao vs Aruba?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Curaçao vs Aruba?
Curaçao vs Aruba (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ergilio Hato.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.