Value bet: Morocco to win @ 3.10 – our chance 44% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMorocco to win ✗44% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Morocco vs Norway preview and prediction
The match
Morocco host Norway in the Friendlies on Sunday 7 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Form guide
Morocco's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Madagascar 4–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Norway's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Sweden 3–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Morocco arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Morocco and 1.3 for Norway. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Morocco 44%, draw 21%, Norway 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Morocco to win at 3.10 – 44% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Morocco 1–1 Norway. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morocco44%fair 2.29 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Norway36%fair 2.81 · @2.16
2.85Expected goals
1.51Morocco xG
1.34Norway xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–19%
1–09%
1–28%
0–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Morocco 1.5 – 1.3 Norway expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Morocco to win✗
44%
2.29
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Morocco / FT Morocco✗
25%
4.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
Morocco – last 3
WWD
2 Jun
vs Madagascar
4–0
W
31 Mar
vs Paraguay
2–1
W
27 Mar
vs Ecuador
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Norway – last 3
WDL
1 Jun
vs Sweden
3–1
W
31 Mar
vs Switzerland
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Netherlands
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Norway.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Morocco vs Norway?
On our numbers Morocco have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Norway 36%.
How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Norway?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Norway?
Our predicted score is Morocco 1–1 Norway, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Morocco vs Norway?
Morocco vs Norway (Friendlies) kicks off on Sunday 7 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sports Illustrated Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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