Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBahia to win ✗64% · @1.41
Double chanceBahia or draw ✗83% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Bahia vs Remo preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Bahia take on Remo on Wednesday 22 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Arena Fonte Nova.
Form guide
Bahia's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Flamengo 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Remo's last 5: LWDLD Most recently they lost to Águia de Marabá 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Bahia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Bahia and 0.9 for Remo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bahia 64%, draw 19%, Remo 17%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 54% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Bahia 2–0 Remo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bahia64%fair 1.57 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @4.35
Remo17%fair 5.88 · @7.70
2.78Expected goals
1.93Bahia xG
0.85Remo xG
54%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Bahia 1.9 – 0.9 Remo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bahia to win✗
64%
1.57
1.41
Double chance
Bahia or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Bahia ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bahia / FT Bahia✗
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Form
Bahia – last 6
LLWWWD
19 Apr
@ Flamengo
0–2
L
5 Apr
vs Palmeiras
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Atletico Paranaense
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs RB Bragantino
2–0
W
15 Mar
@ Internacional
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Remo – last 6
LWDLDL
16 Apr
@ Águia de Marabá
1–2
L
9 Apr
vs Amazonas
1–0
W
6 Apr
@ Gremio
0–0
D
2 Apr
@ Santos
0–2
L
29 Mar
vs Monte Roraima
1–1
D
27 Mar
@ Porto Velho
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bahia and Remo.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Bahia vs Remo?
On our numbers Bahia have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Remo 17%.
How many goals will there be in Bahia vs Remo?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bahia vs Remo?
Our predicted score is Bahia 2–0 Remo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bahia vs Remo?
Bahia vs Remo (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Fonte Nova.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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